J.T. Realmuto Hits
Realmuto's putting the bat on the ball — a hit in four of his last five, and he's seen this starter three times already this season.
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Hart's averaging 9.0 boards over his last 5 games and has hit this mark in 3 of those contests.
Cleared 12 points in 4 of his last 6 with the second unit leaning on him for scoring.
Harper's usage has climbed to 24% over the Spurs' last 5; 14+ points in 3 straight.
Home, rested, riding a 4-game win streak.
Averaging 1.2 shots on goal above season pace over his last 10.
Both teams allowed 3.4+ goals per game over their last 5.
Crosby returns from rest; Pens are 8-2 in their last 10 at home.
Opponent allowing 3.6 goals per game on the road.
Pittsburgh is 6-1 ATS at home; opponent missing two starting OL.
Averaging 27.8 over his last 10; opponent allows 28+ to wings.
8.4 APG with the starting PG out; matchup is bottom-5 in assists allowed.
Ace on the mound at home vs a sub-.500 club.
Soto + Judge active; opposing starter has a 5.10 ERA over his last 5.
Leads the team in red-zone touches.
Mahomes' top red-zone target since 2019.
29% target share inside the 20.
Posted one in 5 of his last 10 starts.
Averaging 35.1 since the all-star break.
Opponent allows the most threes per game.
30+ points in 7 of his last 10.
Park factor +18 for RH power; opposing starter has 1.8 HR/9.
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Pulling tonight's probable starters…
Six arms with a strikeout market. Checking each one's last five starts against the number.
Skubal's the standout — 7+ punchouts in four of his last five, and tonight's opponent strikes out more than any lineup in the league.
Wind's blowing in at 11mph, roof open. That's a small nudge toward the pitcher, not a story on its own.
One caution: he threw 104 pitches last time out on four days' rest, so a short leash is live.
Last 5 games · 4/5 cleared
J.T. Realmuto — Hits, Hits, line 0.5. Last 5 games, oldest first: vs NYM 2 (cleared), vs ATL 1 (cleared), vs ATL 0 (missed), @ MIA 1 (cleared), @ MIA 2 (cleared). 4 of 5 cleared the line.
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Realmuto's putting the bat on the ball — a hit in four of his last five, and he's seen this starter three times already this season.
Coors, a lefty bat, and a starter giving up 1.6 home runs per nine. Carroll has cleared two bases in three of his last five.
Ace at home against the worst road record in the division. The case is straightforward; the price reflects it.
Parlay anchor — low payout, not an edge.
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